This document has been expressly prepared for The European House – Ambrosetti Forum “Intelligence on the World, Europe, and Italy”, Villa d’Este – Cernobbio – September 6, 7 and 8, 2019.
During the 44th “Intelligence on the World, Europe and Italy” Forum, Villa d’Este on September 7, 8 and 9, a study entitled “Six months to Brexit. Analysis of negotiations and impacts to guide business leaders in the transition ahead” has been presented.
The new analysis “Brexit, one year to go: state of negotiations and impact analysis to support business leaders in the transition ahead” has been presented at the Twenty-ninth Edition of the Workshop “The Outlook for the Economy and Finance”
The real impact of Brexit is linked to the result of the negotiations between the European Union and the United Kingdom and the scenario that seems to emerge shows that neither the EU nor the UK will likely see an improvement in their conditions as a result of London’s exit from the EU.
Assessing the effect of Brexit while riding the emotional wave and the initial reactions of the markets risks leading to hasty conclusions, especially when faced with the explosion in volatility and extremes in judgment, almost always irrationally based.
Brutal but acute snapshot of the situation captured by Lucio Caracciolo, Limes Editor-in-Chief and geopolitics expert. Are we to expect more walls and national interests undermining common goals?